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USDA has paid farmers $8.39 billion of the estimated $9.56 billion promised for China trade-war losses, with soybean growers receiving the largest share. No similar aid is budgeted for 2019, and Purdue's James Mintert said the payments were decisive for many 2018 farms.
With no 2019 aid budgeted, farmers face weaker margins while China tariffs persist, which can reduce soybean marketing and feed use and keep soy-based feed prices under pressure.
在过去 803 次看跌的贸易事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%(51% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 384 次看跌的贸易事件之后,豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%(47% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。