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China says U.S. farmers may never regain the soybean market share they lost in the trade war. China is buying more soybeans from other countries, promoting livestock feed alternatives to soy, and pushing farmers to plant more domestic crops.
Before the dispute, China had been on track to import 300 million tons of soybeans from the United States this year.
Structural shifts in Chinese sourcing and feed formulations could permanently reduce U.S. soybean export demand. Alternative feed use would also cut soymeal demand over time.
politico.comHe Huifeng, South China Morning Post2018年8月11日在过去 803 次看跌的贸易事件之后，大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.0%（51% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.7%），20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 384 次看跌的贸易事件之后，豆粕 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%（47% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.7% 至 +1.6%），20 个交易日内为 -0.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
