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TD Securities expects the Brazilian central bank to cut its Selic rate by 50 basis points at its October meeting and to signal further easing. Analysts cite inflation at or below target and a large output gap as reasons for the cut.
They also note that the real will remain tied to broad dollar moves and fiscal reform prospects.
Lower Brazilian rates tend to weaken the real, which can make Brazilian soybean and corn exports more competitive on world markets. The effect on feed prices is likely to be small unless the currency move is large.
在过去 301 次看涨的宏观事件之后,巴西雷亚尔(每 USD 的 BRL) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%(57% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.2% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 +1.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。