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Brazil's central bank is expected to cut the SELIC rate by 100 basis points to 8.25% at its September 6 meeting, with further cuts seen through October and possibly December. ING sees the cycle concluding at 7.5% and says a social security reform rally in the real could allow more easing.
Lower Brazilian rates tend to weaken the real, which makes Brazilian soybeans and corn cheaper in dollar terms for export buyers and can add pressure to global soy and meal prices.
在过去 301 次看涨的宏观事件之后,巴西雷亚尔(每 USD 的 BRL) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%(57% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.2% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 +1.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。