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TD Securities revised its Brazil central bank outlook and now expects two further consecutive 50bp rate cuts, starting at this week's meeting. The forecast cites accelerating pension reform and projected net savings of 800-900 billion reais over ten years.
Economists surveyed by Bloomberg are split between 25bp, 50bp and no change.
Easier Brazilian monetary policy and a weaker real can make Brazilian exports cheaper in dollar terms, which tends to pressure soybean and corn export prices and supports Brazilian farm-side competitiveness.
在过去 301 次看涨的宏观事件之后,巴西雷亚尔(每 USD 的 BRL) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.4%(57% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.2% 至 +1.7%),20 个交易日内为 +1.0%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。