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New research led by Columbia's Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory finds climate change is raising soil evaporation and pulling summer storm moisture away from the Midwest Corn Belt. The study forecasts this drying trend will worsen over the next decade.
A long-term decline in summer rainfall and soil moisture in the top corn and soybean region would tighten future supply and support prices over time. The effect is a multi-year outlook rather than a near-term shock.
在过去 1,465 次看涨的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
在过去 1,079 次看涨的天气事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。