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A study led by researchers at UNICAMP's Center for Environmental Studies, supported by FAPESP and the Belmont Forum, finds that climate change could expose Brazil's safrinha (second-crop) corn to extreme drought. The crop is planted after the summer soybean and corn harvest and grown between January and April in the Center-West, Southeast and South.
The findings point to rising risk for agribusiness productivity and export leadership.
A higher drought risk for Brazil's second-crop corn could tighten export supplies later in the year and support corn prices. The effect is long-term research rather than an immediate production shock, so the current price impact is limited.
agencia.fapesp.brFAPESP2020年7月15日在过去 1,465 次看涨的天气事件之后，玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.2%（54% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.9%），20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
