
Drought expanded across much of the Illinois and Corn Belt region through February despite very cold temperatures, with most Corn Belt rainfall under an inch. The analyst suggests a dry start could lift US corn plantings to 93–95+ million acres, which is bearish for corn.
Lower 2024/25 carryout of 1.54 billion bushels means dry subsoils could make summer moisture more critical.
Higher corn acreage would weigh on corn prices, while a dry summer on tighter carryout would support them, making the price outlook two-sided for feed buyers.
在过去 445 次中性的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(52% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
在过去 1,079 次看涨的天气事件之后,大豆 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(54% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +2.0%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。