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NOAA's Climate Prediction Center says El Niño has ended and a neutral phase has begun. La Niña is expected to build through the summer and be firmly in control by September, during peak hurricane season.
The shift toward La Niña changes seasonal weather risk for the Americas and Asia-Pacific, adding to uncertainty for crop planning and feed grain supply. Its price impact depends on where it turns dry.
在过去 445 次中性的天气事件之后,玉米 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.1%(52% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.4% 至 +1.6%),20 个交易日内为 +0.7%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。