
U.S. dairy prices have fallen since the COVID-19 outbreak, with Class III down 26% and Class IV down 36%. School and foodservice closures cut demand, and exports slowed after March.
The April WASDE lowered annual forecasts for cheese, butter, nonfat dry milk and whey.
Lost foodservice and export demand left surplus milk with no outlet, pushing down milk class prices and the cost of dairy-based feed ingredients. Lower milk prices also weigh on dairy producers' feed purchasing.
在过去 49 次看跌的宏观事件之后,牛奶(III类) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.6%(33% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -8.5% 至 +0.6%),20 个交易日内为 -7.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
School and foodservice closures cut demand and slowed exports, and the WASDE lowered cheese, butter, NFDM and whey forecasts, which is a bearish demand and price outlook for Class III.
Dated the same day as the drop, it describes COVID-19 foodservice and school closures cutting demand and the April WASDE lowering cheese, butter, NFDM and whey forecasts, which is bearish for Class III.