
Dairy economists at the University of Wisconsin say the pandemic has turned dairy markets upside down. USDA reported February milk production up 1.7% year over year, and dairy exports have hit port bottlenecks.
Powder prices have fallen from a futures forecast of $1.25 to about $1 per pound, and May Class IV futures are down $5 per hundredweight since mid-January.
Weaker powder demand and rising milk output reduce dairy prices and pressure milk-based feed ingredients. Export bottlenecks limit the outlet for surplus U.S. milk powder.
在过去 49 次看跌的宏观事件之后,牛奶(III类) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.6%(33% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -8.5% 至 +0.6%),20 个交易日内为 -7.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
Late-March coverage of pandemic demand disruption, with production up and export bottlenecks, set up the bearish supply/demand backdrop and weighed on dairy futures.