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Maxum Foods and Cornell economist Andrew Novakovic say COVID-19 lockdowns are shifting dairy demand away from cheese and hitting small farms and processors hard. Specialty cheese plants are closing while cheddar plants are full and fluid milk sales are expected to rise 10-15%.
Weaker foodservice-driven cheese demand and rising surplus milk are bearish for milk prices, with downside risk for dairy-based feed ingredients like whey and DDGS demand.
在过去 49 次看跌的宏观事件之后,牛奶(III类) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.6%(33% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -8.5% 至 +0.6%),20 个交易日内为 -7.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。