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Rabobank says fertilizer consumption fell in 2022 amid volatility and record prices, but prices are returning toward pre-war levels and its affordability index will trend lower over the next three months. Nitrogen remains the key risk due to the European gas crisis.
Easing fertilizer prices improve affordability for feed grain producers, though nitrogen costs could stay elevated if gas-driven urea and ammonia costs persist.
在过去 42 次看跌的报告事件之后,尿素 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(57% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.9% 至 +3.3%),20 个交易日内为 +2.9%。
在过去 40 次中性的报告事件之后,天然气 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +1.2%(60% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -3.5% 至 +2.8%),20 个交易日内为 +4.5%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。