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Rabobank says farmer fertilizer costs are returning to pre-Ukraine war levels while commodity prices fall, squeezing operating margins below the two-year average. The bank expects fertilizer use growth to persist despite these headwinds and geopolitical risks.
Thinner farm margins may lead growers to cut crop area and input spending, which weighs on fertilizer demand and keeps prices under pressure. Lower grain prices also reduce feed input costs for buyers.
历史可比事件尚不足,暂无法给出历史解读。
在过去 42 次看跌的报告事件之后,尿素 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(57% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -1.9% 至 +3.3%),20 个交易日内为 +2.9%。
在过去 156 次报告事件之后,DAP 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 0.0%(45% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.6% 至 +0.9%),20 个交易日内为 +0.9%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。