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ING analysts said the dollar is expensive to sell after the rise in US Treasury yields, but they still favour a weaker dollar for the rest of 2024. They target EUR/USD at 1.14, expect the Fed to cut more than markets price, and remain positive on commodity currencies.
A medium-term dollar decline would support dollar-priced commodities and lower import costs for non-US buyers. The near-term outlook is range-bound, so the immediate effect on feed prices is limited.
在过去 359 次中性的宏观事件之后,美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.0%(49% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.4% 至 +0.4%),20 个交易日内为 -0.1%。
在过去 388 次看涨的宏观事件之后,欧元(每 EUR 的 USD) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%(62% 上涨;中间一半区间为 -0.4% 至 +1.1%),20 个交易日内为 +0.1%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件;仅描述已发生的情况,不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。