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The dollar gained only about 1% against the euro year-to-date despite a sharp rise in U.S. bond yields and a stronger U.S. vaccine rollout. Commodity currencies were still up 1-2% against the dollar since the start of the year.
The analysis expected the euro to benefit as a cyclical currency if the global recovery synchronized in the second quarter.
A weaker dollar relative to the euro and commodity currencies supports dollar-denominated commodity prices and export competitiveness for South American and Australian feed exporters. Continued dollar softness would be supportive for feed grain values.
think.ing.comChris Turner2021年3月4日在过去 388 次看涨的宏观事件之后，欧元(每 EUR 的 USD) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 +0.3%（62% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -0.4% 至 +1.1%），20 个交易日内为 +0.1%。
在过去 1,637 次看跌的宏观事件之后，美元(广义) 在 5 个交易日内中位数变动 -0.2%（39% 上涨；中间一半区间为 -0.6% 至 +0.3%），20 个交易日内为 -0.2%。
各商品基准价相对事件前最后收盘价的变动。历史数据汇总同类过往事件；仅描述已发生的情况，不代表未来走势。不构成投资建议。
