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WTI settled down $18.54, or 16%, at $94.41 a barrel on April 8 after a two-week ceasefire was announced over the Iran war. Brent fell 13% to $94.75, and product prices also tumbled.
Some ships reported being turned away from the Strait of Hormuz and Iran reportedly announced a $1 per barrel transit charge.
Crude and product declines reflect hopes for restored Gulf flows, but unclear passage through Hormuz leaves supply risk open. Lower diesel and crude prices would reduce transport and processing costs for feed.
dtnpf.comBarani Krishnan2026. 4. 8.과거 하락 지정학 이벤트 250건 이후, 원유 (Brent)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -3.1% 변동(상승 36%; 중간 50% 범위 -7.9%~+1.6%), 20거래일 동안 -5.5%.
과거 하락 지정학 이벤트 255건 이후, 원유 (WTI)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -2.4% 변동(상승 31%; 중간 50% 범위 -7.0%~+1.7%), 20거래일 동안 -5.0%.
과거 하락 지정학 이벤트 51건 이후, ULSD / 디젤은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 -2.4% 변동(상승 37%; 중간 50% 범위 -8.2%~+3.9%), 20거래일 동안 -2.3%.
각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.
The two-week US-Iran ceasefire on April 8 triggered a 16% crude collapse and sharp product price declines, the main driver of the ULSD drop over the window.
WTI settled down 16% to $94.41 on April 8 after the two-week ceasefire announcement, the main driver of the 5-day decline.
WTI fell 16% on April 8 on the ceasefire and product prices tumbled, the same-day crude and product price shock behind the ULSD drop.
Reports the April 8 settlement drop in Brent and WTI on the ceasefire, confirming the move, while noting tenuous Hormuz flows that limited the decline.
