◂ 이벤트 타임라인

2024. 7. 29.날씨글로벌

What Does La Niña Mean for Agricultural Markets? Cocoa, Coffee, Sugar Changes

Bloomberg reports that the tropical Pacific is currently in a neutral state, with about a 70% chance of La Niña forming between August and October and possibly lasting into the Northern Hemisphere winter. La Niña brings cooler tropical Pacific waters.

The article links the outlook to cocoa, coffee and sugar markets.

중요한 이유

A likely La Niña raises the risk of uneven rainfall in key growing regions over the coming season, which can tighten supplies and support prices. The direct effect on feed commodities in this piece is limited.

영향 대상옥수수 대두 밀 (SRW)팜유

출처 1건
bloomberg.comDayanne Sousa, Ilena Peng2024. 7. 29.

가격 반응 및 이력

옥수수방향성 판단 없음현재까지1d +0.5%5d −1.0%20d −4.8%

과거 날씨 이벤트 2,467건 이후, 옥수수은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.1% 변동(상승 51%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.5%~+1.7%), 20거래일 동안 +0.6%.

2025. 8. 12.With Chances of a La Niña Increasing, What Would This Mean For Coffee?+0.0%
2017. 8. 14.What Does Lack of El Niño, La Niña Mean For Winter? | The Weather Channel-2.0%
2025. 3. 3.What La Nina’s departure could mean for U.S. ag-0.2%
2026. 5. 21.What a Possible 2026/27 Super El Niño Means for Commodity Markets-1.7%
2021. 10. 19.La Niña Is Back—What That Means for North and South American Crops+0.7%

대두방향성 판단 없음현재까지1d −2.1%5d −4.5%20d −11.6%

과거 날씨 이벤트 1,964건 이후, 대두은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.1% 변동(상승 51%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.7%~+1.8%), 20거래일 동안 +0.3%.

2025. 8. 12.With Chances of a La Niña Increasing, What Would This Mean For Coffee?+3.2%
2025. 3. 3.What La Nina’s departure could mean for U.S. ag-0.1%
2026. 5. 21.What a Possible 2026/27 Super El Niño Means for Commodity Markets-0.4%
2021. 10. 19.La Niña Is Back—What That Means for North and South American Crops+1.3%
2025. 1. 9.La Niña Emerges in Pacific Triggering Global Weather Changes - Bloomberg+5.6%

밀 (SRW)방향성 판단 없음현재까지1d −4.4%5d −4.2%20d −6.9%

과거 날씨 이벤트 1,773건 이후, 밀 (SRW)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.1% 변동(상승 52%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.5%~+2.1%), 20거래일 동안 +0.2%.

2025. 8. 12.With Chances of a La Niña Increasing, What Would This Mean For Coffee?+2.8%
2026. 5. 21.What a Possible 2026/27 Super El Niño Means for Commodity Markets-1.6%
2025. 1. 9.La Niña Emerges in Pacific Triggering Global Weather Changes - Bloomberg+0.0%
2024. 8. 23.Low falling numbers could have a big impact on wheat market - Agweek | #1 source for agriculture news, farming, markets-0.2%
2018. 7. 15.New contract lows for crops - Agweek | #1 source for agriculture news, farming, markets+4.1%

팜유방향성 판단 없음현재까지1d −0.1%5d +1.4%20d +1.0%

과거 날씨 이벤트 361건 이후, 팜유은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.0% 변동(상승 51%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.3%~+1.3%), 20거래일 동안 -0.2%.

2025. 8. 12.With Chances of a La Niña Increasing, What Would This Mean For Coffee?+2.2%
2026. 8. 1.El Niño 2026: Converging Pressures on Vegetable Oil Markets - Center for Commercial Agriculture+2.0%
2023. 5. 5.What an El Niño could mean for food prices - EPIC+4.8%
2019. 12. 6.What lies ahead for our sugarcane farmers and workers under climate change? – OML Center+2.5%
2025. 2. 1.La Niña conditions present with a transition to ENSO-neutral likely during March-May 2025 (66% chance) | Climate and Agriculture in the Southeast+3.6%

각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.

옥수수 CORN · GP ▸

· ·

대두 SOY · GP ▸

· ·