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2023. 5. 5.날씨미국

What an El Niño could mean for food prices

An EPIC article on El Niño said the coming event could reduce US agricultural production, with the Central Plains possibly drier and warmer and the Southeast wetter. Researchers noted that El Niño can also benefit some crops and growing seasons.

The article points to effects of human-caused climate change on production.

중요한 이유

Expected US production shortfalls would be a supply risk for feed grains, but the mixed crop effects and uncertain timing limit the near-term price signal.

영향 대상옥수수 대두 밀 (SRW)팜유

출처 1건
epic.uchicago.edu2023. 5. 5.

가격 반응 및 이력

옥수수방향성 판단 없음현재까지1d +0.6%5d −0.2%20d −7.5%

과거 날씨 이벤트 2,467건 이후, 옥수수은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.1% 변동(상승 51%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.5%~+1.7%), 20거래일 동안 +0.6%.

2018. 8. 10.El Niño forecast may mean better maize prices-7.5%
2025. 3. 3.What La Nina’s departure could mean for U.S. ag-0.2%
2019. 10. 29.Falling Corn Surplus Could Mean Higher Food Prices+2.7%
2023. 9. 28.Risks to global food commodity prices from El Niño+1.1%
2026. 9. 17.El Niño Could Create Grains Price Advantage for Brazil | CZ app+0.1%

대두방향성 판단 없음현재까지1d +1.4%5d −0.4%20d −6.6%

과거 날씨 이벤트 1,964건 이후, 대두은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.1% 변동(상승 51%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.7%~+1.8%), 20거래일 동안 +0.3%.

2025. 3. 3.What La Nina’s departure could mean for U.S. ag-0.1%
2023. 9. 28.Risks to global food commodity prices from El Niño-2.3%
2026. 9. 17.El Niño Could Create Grains Price Advantage for Brazil | CZ app-0.1%
2026. 5. 21.What a Possible 2026/27 Super El Niño Means for Commodity Markets-0.4%
2025. 8. 12.With Chances of a La Niña Increasing, What Would This Mean For Coffee?+3.2%

밀 (SRW)방향성 판단 없음현재까지1d +0.4%5d −1.9%20d −5.2%

과거 날씨 이벤트 1,773건 이후, 밀 (SRW)은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.1% 변동(상승 52%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.5%~+2.1%), 20거래일 동안 +0.2%.

2023. 7. 13.What this year’s El Niño means for wheat and global food supply+3.7%
2024. 1. 8.El Niño winter comes for wheat-2.5%
2023. 9. 28.Risks to global food commodity prices from El Niño-5.3%
2026. 5. 21.What a Possible 2026/27 Super El Niño Means for Commodity Markets-1.6%
2025. 8. 12.With Chances of a La Niña Increasing, What Would This Mean For Coffee?+2.8%

팜유방향성 판단 없음현재까지1d +4.9%5d +4.8%20d −3.6%

과거 날씨 이벤트 361건 이후, 팜유은 5거래일 동안 중앙값 +0.0% 변동(상승 51%; 중간 50% 범위 -1.3%~+1.3%), 20거래일 동안 -0.2%.

2023. 9. 28.Risks to global food commodity prices from El Niño-2.3%
2025. 8. 12.With Chances of a La Niña Increasing, What Would This Mean For Coffee?+2.2%
2026. 7. 1.WMO: Prepare for El Niño+0.6%
2023. 6. 8.Hello, El Niño – What To Expect for the 2023 Crop - AgWeb+2.1%
2018. 5. 10.El Niño pattern could emerge by 2018-19 winter: U.S. forecaster+0.7%

각 품목 벤치마크의 이벤트 직전 종가 대비 변동. 과거 수치는 같은 유형의 과거 이벤트를 합산한 것으로, 일어난 일을 설명할 뿐 앞으로 일어날 일이 아닙니다. 투자 자문이 아닙니다.

옥수수 CORN · GP ▸

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대두 SOY · GP ▸

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