
USDA data showed October US milk production rose 1.4% from a year earlier, with the increase driven by more cows and higher output per cow. Bob Cropp projected the December Class III price could fall to about $15.45 as dairy product prices soften.
Growing milk supply and softening butter and cheese prices point to downward pressure on Class III milk prices, which lowers the value of dairy co-products used in feed.
After 273 past bearish report events, Milk (Class III) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -1.3% to +0.4%), and -1.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Production up 1.4% and a Cropp forecast of a lower December Class III price point to a supply overhang and softening product prices.