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Brazil's 2027 arabica crop flowered unevenly after irregular spring rain, according to speakers at the International Coffee Week in Belo Horizonte. Cooxupé put its early loss at 10% of potential in its own growing area, and said it was too early for national estimates.
Analysts expect a smaller 2027 crop because it falls in the low year of arabica's two-year bearing cycle.
A smaller Brazilian arabica crop and likely quality damage would tighten global high-quality coffee supply and support prices. The 10% loss applies only to Cooxupé's area, so the national impact remains uncertain.
inheritancecoffee.comMason SingerNov 13, 2026After 2,467 past weather events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.7%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 1,964 past weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 1,773 past weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.1%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 361 past weather events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
