
The US dollar hit a 19-month high near 103 on the DXY as markets priced in further Fed rate hikes. Traders saw a 12% chance of a 50 basis point hike in December, and a 78% probability of three hikes within 12 months after Donald Trump said the US did not need a deal with Iran.
USDJPY tested 160, prompting verbal intervention warnings from Japan's finance minister.
A stronger dollar makes US-priced grains, oilseeds and meals more expensive for importers and tends to pressure dollar-denominated commodity prices. Higher US rates also raise the cost of carrying inventory and financing for feed buyers.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.