
Soybean futures were 10 to 14 cents higher in early Friday trade after closing lower Thursday. The USDA reported a private export sale of 136,000 MT of 2026/27 soybeans to China, and the cash bean price fell 8.5 cents to $11.60.
A confirmed Chinese purchase supports export demand, though falling cash bids and rising open interest show selling pressure in nearby contracts. Soymeal and soyoil were lower, which weighs on meal prices for feed buyers.
After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 384 past bearish trade events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 152 past bearish trade events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.1%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.