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A commodity analyst reports that oilseed sowing in India's kharif season rose slightly to 196.66 lakh hectares in 2026, but a weak monsoon raises doubts about output. Sugar output may fall 1-1.5 million tonnes short of demand, and maize has become a key industrial demand base due to ethanol.
A weak monsoon and shortfalls in Indian sugar and oilseed output point to firmer domestic prices and higher import demand, supporting global soybean, palm and maize demand.
gaonjunction.comGaonJunction Digital TeamNov 12, 2026After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 181 past bullish weather events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -0.9% to +1.9%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 1,072 past bullish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
