In its November WASDE report, the USDA raised its 2026/27 Ukrainian feed grain production forecast by 0.4 million tons to 39.49 million tons, mainly on a higher barley estimate. It also cut the forecast for Ukrainian feed grain exports by 2 million tons, mostly due to corn, and raised ending stocks from 8.7 to 11.1 million tons.
A larger Ukrainian barley crop and higher ending stocks add supply to feed grain markets, which is mildly bearish for barley. Lower corn exports from Ukraine partly offset this by tightening export availability.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.