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The Brazilian real fell for a fourth straight session on Thursday. Investors worried that Donald Trump's pledged infrastructure spending and tax cuts could raise U.S. inflation and push the Federal Reserve toward tighter policy, which lifted U.S. yields.
Higher U.S. yields and a stronger dollar weaken emerging-market currencies, which raises the real cost of dollar-priced grain and meal imports for Brazilian feed buyers.
reuters.comNov 14, 2016After 301 past bullish macro events, USDBRL moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Fourth straight day of real weakness as expectations of Trump's fiscal stimulus lifted US yields and Fed tightening bets, strengthening the dollar.
