
Wheat rose to a three-year high as drought concerns grew in the US Great Plains and northern Europe. Germany faces its smallest wheat crop in almost 15 years, and global wheat output is projected to fall about 4 percent.
Drought losses in major exporters and importers reduce global wheat supply, which raises grain prices and the cost of feed ingredients.
After 1,072 past bullish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 322 past bullish weather events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -2.5% to +3.2%), and +1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Drought in the US Great Plains and northern Europe and a projected 4% fall in global output reinforced the supply-driven rally.