Teagasc's 2026 harvest report shows Irish cereal production down 11%, from 2.162 million tonnes in 2025 to 1.997 million tonnes in 2026. Lower planted area, dry conditions from June into July and higher temperatures in May to July drove the decline, with the midlands and southeast on light soils hit hardest.
Irish cereal output is a small share of EU supply, but the lower harvest tightens domestic feed barley and wheat availability for Irish buyers and may support local feed grain prices.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 406 past neutral report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.5%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.