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The EU spent an estimated €8.7 billion on Russian Arctic LNG in the first ten months of 2026, per Urgewald analysis of Kpler data. EU ports received 12.89 million tonnes from the Yamal project, and a ban on Russian LNG imports starts January 1, 2027.
Continued reliance on Russian LNG keeps European gas supply tight until the ban, supporting energy costs for European feed and fertilizer producers.
After 136 past bullish geopolitics events, Natural Gas moved a median +2.7% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -1.8% to +8.8%), and +4.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.