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Russia supplied Europe with about 17 million tonnes of LNG in 2022, up 20%, as pipeline gas from Russia was cut amid the Ukraine crisis. Europe increased seaborne LNG imports to offset the shortfall.
Europe's reliance on seaborne LNG keeps global gas prices elevated and competitive with feed-relevant energy and fertilizer costs.
After 136 past bullish geopolitics events, Natural Gas moved a median +2.7% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -1.8% to +8.8%), and +4.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.