Loading…
Oil futures fell more than 4% after spiking to near a four-month high on an Iranian rocket attack on U.S. forces in Iraq. Prices reversed once it became clear the attack did not damage oil facilities or harm Americans.
A surprise rise in U.S. crude inventories added further pressure.
Easing Middle East risk removes the geopolitical premium from crude, and bearish inventory data reinforces the downside. Lower crude and diesel costs can ease energy and freight expenses for feed producers.
reuters.comScott DiSavinoJan 8, 2020After 255 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -2.4% over 5 sessions (31% higher; middle half -7.0% to +1.7%), and -5.0% over 20.
After 250 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -3.1% over 5 sessions (36% higher; middle half -7.9% to +1.6%), and -5.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
