South Africa harvested a record 17.7 million tonnes of commercial maize in the 2025/26 season, a 6% rise on the previous year, according to the Crop Estimates Committee's October assessment. Farmers are preparing for possible El Niño conditions, which could bring drier weather, higher temperatures and disrupted rainfall to the 2026/27 season.
AgriSA says it is too early to estimate the impact on production.
A large domestic maize supply cushions South Africa's import needs for now, but El Niño risk to the next crop could tighten supply and lift prices later.
After 445 past neutral weather events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.