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The Trump administration said it will stop granting sanctions waivers to countries still importing Iranian crude after May 2. Oil settled up about 2.7% to a near six-month high, with Brent at $74.04.
The move could remove about 1 million barrels per day from the market, a major supply shock that pushes crude prices up.
cnbc.comTom DiChristopher, Weizhen TanApr 22, 2019After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
The April 22 US announcement ending Iran waivers set up the rally and carried momentum into April 23, though it largely predates the move window.
