Euro struggles near May 2025 lows as Fed hawks keep Dollar supported

After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.

• Jul 31, 2025EUR/USD struggles near seven-week low as USD strength dominates-0.7%
• Jul 5, 2022Euro Hits 20-Year Low Against Dollar as Markets Slide - The New York Times+1.5%
• Oct 17, 2018edges lower as dollar gains after hawkish Fed minutes+1.1%
• Jun 19, 2026Euro steadies as the US Dollar eases, but hawkish Fed bets limit upside+0.4%
• Oct 29, 2018Dollar up vs euro on Merkel exit news, U.S. data supports+0.1%

After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.

• Jun 19, 2024Dollar struggles for direction, euro close to 1-1/2-month low-0.5%
• Jul 31, 2025EUR/USD struggles near seven-week low as USD strength dominates+1.5%
• Jul 5, 2022Euro Hits 20-Year Low Against Dollar as Markets Slide - The New York Times-3.1%
• Jun 19, 2026Euro steadies as the US Dollar eases, but hawkish Fed bets limit upside-0.6%
• Oct 29, 2018Dollar up vs euro on Merkel exit news, U.S. data supports-0.1%