
Market prices for most Kharif (monsoon-season) crops in India are running above the minimum support price after weather-driven yield losses. Soybean, pigeon pea (tur), chickpea and mustard prices have risen, though production losses may still weigh on farmers' overall income.
Lower Indian kharif output tightens domestic supply of oilseeds and pulses, supporting prices and raising import demand for soybean meal and oil. Soybean at about Rs 7,000 per quintal versus a Rs 5,708 MSP signals firm domestic prices.
After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 453 past bullish weather events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.