
OPEC's November report shows Saudi Arabia raised crude output by 1.18 million barrels a day in October to 9.19 million, the largest monthly gain of any producer. Excluding the UAE, which has left the group, OPEC+ output rose 1.94 million barrels a day to 37.22 million.
The report kept its forecast of about 2.6 million barrels a day of demand growth in 2027.
Faster Gulf supply recovery adds barrels to a market where demand growth is still expected, which weighs on crude prices. Lower crude prices reduce input costs for biofuels and fertilizer, and they reduce the pull on feed-grain-linked energy costs.
After 129 past bearish report events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -3.9% to +2.5%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 171 past bearish report events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.5% over 5 sessions (37% higher; middle half -4.8% to +1.9%), and -0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.