A Reuters survey shows OPEC crude output rose by about 210,000 bpd in October, with the OPEC 10 total at 21.77 million bpd. Compliance with the August cut agreement was 101 percent.
Higher output and stable compliance add modest near-term supply, a mildly bearish signal for crude prices.
After 129 past bearish report events, BRENT moved a median -1.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -3.9% to +2.5%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 171 past bearish report events, WTI moved a median -1.5% over 5 sessions (37% higher; middle half -4.8% to +1.9%), and -0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.