
OPEC's output rose by about 50,000 bpd in September, according to a Reuters survey. The 11 members with targets under the original accord raised output by 40,000 bpd, while compliance with the pledged cuts slipped to 86% from 89% in August.
Slightly higher OPEC supply and softer compliance weigh modestly on crude prices, though the overall cut remains in place.
After 129 past bearish report events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -3.9% to +2.5%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 171 past bearish report events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.5% over 5 sessions (37% higher; middle half -4.8% to +1.9%), and -0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.