
OPEC crude output rose by 220,000 bpd in August to 27.56 million bpd, according to a Reuters survey. It was the first monthly increase since February, with Iran reaching a 2018 high.
Higher OPEC supply eases the tightness that drove July's rally, which is mildly bearish for crude and diesel costs.
After 171 past bearish report events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.5% over 5 sessions (37% higher; middle half -4.8% to +1.9%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 129 past bearish report events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -3.9% to +2.5%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.