
Government monthly data showed U.S. crude oil production topped 10 million barrels per day in November, the first time since 1970. Analysts expect output to rise by more than 1 million barrels per day in 2018 and possibly exceed 12 million by the end of 2019.
Sustained output growth above 10 million barrels per day adds supply to global markets and can cap crude price rallies, which would lower energy costs for feed and freight.
After 171 past bearish report events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.5% over 5 sessions (37% higher; middle half -4.8% to +1.9%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 129 past bearish report events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -3.9% to +2.5%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.