
Northwest Europe diesel was about $88 a barrel and jet/kero about $85 on 6 November, per Argus. Russian Baltic and Black Sea diesel loadings recovered to above 350 kbd after a record low in August, while ex-Russia seaborne middle distillate exports hit a record 10.2 mb/d.
Recovering Russian and record seaborne distillate flows may ease diesel cracks over time, which would lower freight and fuel costs for feed logistics.
After 18 past bearish logistics events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median +0.6% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.5% to +3.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.