Higher corn prices, which rose nearly a dollar a bushel this spring, are challenging cattle feeding margins. The USDA June Cattle on Feed report showed inventory 2% above a year earlier, the highest June 1 level since 1996, with placements 3% below 2018.
Larger feedlot inventories and rising feed costs weigh on feedlot margins and cattle prices, though placements slightly below last year offer some support.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 144 past bearish report events, Live Cattle moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.1% to +0.9%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 126 past bearish report events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.0%), and +0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.