
Brent traded near $92.46 a barrel and WTI for December delivery was near $86.39 in early Asian trade on Thursday. Iran said it would not hand over enriched nuclear material, and Tehran and Washington were not negotiating.
Brent is still up more than 50% in 2026.
Stalled talks keep a geopolitical risk premium in crude, supporting energy input costs for feed and fertilizer. Flat prices mean no immediate change in biofuel feedstock economics.
After 60 past neutral geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -0.9% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -4.7% to +2.3%), and -1.9% over 20.
After 63 past neutral geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -0.5% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -4.4% to +2.6%), and -2.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.