
Vietnam's rice export prices rose significantly, with jasmine rice up about $30 per ton and fragrant rice up $25 per ton from the end of the previous month. Vietnam exported about 475,500 tons of rice in October 2026, earning $253 million, a 39.3% year-on-year value increase, though volume and value for the first ten months of 2026 declined versus 2025.
A strong El Niño threatening Asian producers, with USDA and FAO forecasting lower global rice output, supports higher rice prices and tightens supply for importers such as the Philippines and China. Rice bran and broken rice can see firmer pricing alongside whole-grain rice.
After 179 past bullish weather events, Rough Rice moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.5%), and +2.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.