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Vietnam's 5% broken rice rose to $415-$420 per ton on June 4, up from $405-$410 a week earlier, on El Niño concerns. Bangladesh prices remained elevated amid a heatwave that is straining the harvest, and Vietnam's May exports rose 19% year over year.
Weather-driven export quote increases point to firmer Asian rice pricing and tighter supply expectations for importers.
After 179 past bullish weather events, Rough Rice moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.5%), and +2.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.