
Brazil’s National Institute of Meteorology forecasts below-average rainfall in Tocantins from November 2026 through January 2027, with low soil moisture also affecting southeastern Pará. The conditions could hinder the establishment of summer soybean and corn crops, although soil moisture is expected to recover gradually in December and January.
Dry and uneven rainfall can delay planting and impair crop establishment, creating yield risk for soybeans and corn in affected areas. The expected later improvement in soil moisture may limit the impact if it arrives in time.
After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.