
EUR/USD traded around 1.1159–1.1170 in Asian trading after falling to 1.1145 the previous day, while the U.S. dollar was broadly supported by stronger-than-expected CPI data and higher U.S. yields. The euro gained against some other currencies, including the pound and Swiss franc, while large option expiries were expected to constrain moves in EUR/USD.
Currency moves can affect the cost of imported feed grains and other commodities, but this report does not establish a direct supply or demand shift. A firmer U.S. dollar can weigh on dollar-denominated commodity prices and raise import costs for buyers using other currencies.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 533 past bearish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (33% higher; middle half -1.2% to +0.2%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.