
Oil prices are in a steep sell-off, with crude and diesel down nearly 30% year to date as the virus spreads outside China. OPEC is expected to meet in March, and Saudi Arabia is reportedly considering deeper supply cuts than the 600,000 barrels a day already proposed, while Russia has not committed.
Possible deeper OPEC+ cuts could tighten crude and diesel supply and partly offset coronavirus demand losses, so energy costs for feed producers may stabilize if the cuts are approved.
After 438 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +0.9% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -2.2% to +4.6%), and +2.0% over 20.
After 442 past bullish policy events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.9%), and +2.1% over 20.
After 90 past bullish policy events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median +1.4% over 5 sessions (66% higher; middle half -1.9% to +4.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.