AMIS forecasts 8.5% decline in global wheat trade amid Black Sea disruptions

After 406 past neutral report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.5%), and +0.0% over 20.

• Sep 1, 2023IKON forecasts total wheat, barley, canola at 48.1Mt - Grain Central+0.1%
• Jun 12, 2020Survey: Wheat exports from the Black Sea region are-1.3%
• Jun 12, 2020Black Sea Wheat Exports Seen Steady In 2020/21: Poll | ESM Magazine-1.3%
• Aug 19, 2025Global wheat exports update: Russia’s wheat exports rise to 732,000 tonnes, while US exports forecast at 875 million bushels - Fastmarkets-1.7%
• Feb 22, 2024Global wheat shipments withstood the shock of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine-4.3%

After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.

• May 13, 2020USDA forecasts intense competition on wheat, corn - Grain Central-0.3%
• Oct 3, 2025Global poultry proves resilient despite market disruptions | MEAT+POULTRY+0.3%
• Jan 13, 2022Wheat Drops With U.S. Forecasting Bigger Global Reserves 13.01.2022 - UkrAgroConsult-1.3%
• Aug 7, 2017FranceAgriMer increases forecasts for wheat, maize and-1.6%
• Sep 17, 2024Global coarse grain production declines | Feed & Grain-0.7%