
AHDB said rapeseed prices had remained steady, with May 2027 Paris futures recently reaching £464 per tonne despite broader pressure across oilseeds. France’s drought-hit sowing conditions prompted a forecast for its 2027/28 rapeseed area to fall 5% year on year to 6.1 million hectares; the US soybean harvest was 79% complete as of October 25.
A smaller French rapeseed area could tighten future European oilseed supply and support rapeseed prices relative to other oilseeds. The advanced US soybean harvest and expected record crop add pressure to soybean prices and the wider oilseed complex.
After 363 past bearish weather events, Soybeans moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.